Taxing Tuesday: Do It Yourself Tax Migration Stats
by meep
People have been writing about people moving due to tax rates.
So here’s U.S. Population Migration Data, from the IRS, data years 2011-2018.
It can be state-to-state, or county-to-county.
I leave it as an exercise for the reader.
Some of the coverage on tax-driven migration:
- Wall Street Journal: So Long, California? Goodbye, Texas? Taxpayers Decide Some States Aren’t Worth It
- Tax Foundation: Tax Foundation’s results for migration data.
- Star Tribune op-ed: Migration out of Minnesota is on the rise
- Chicago magazine: Illinois Is Not Losing Its Highly Taxed Residents
- Truth in Accounting: US households moving to freer, lower-tax places
From that last one:
Four of the 15 states with high net outmigration in 2018 were states impacted significantly by energy market developments, following on the heels of a significant drop in oil prices. So, for the purposes of comparing these two groups of states, Wyoming, Louisiana, North Dakota and West Virginia are considered special cases and excluded from the “high outmigration” states.
What characterizes the high inmigration states? How do they differ from the high outmigration states?
In a review of a variety of economic, demographic and financial factors for these 26 states, five factors stand out for how different inmigration states are from outmigration states.
1. WalletHub’s Tax Burden
2. Cato Institute Freedom Ranking
3. Balanced Budget Frequency
4. Lawyers per 10,000 Residents
5. Truth in Accounting’s Taxpayer Burden
“Lawyer density” is an amusing metric.
Plus one more, that I have to look forward to:
Lawmakers want to know why people are leaving New York state
ALBANY, N.Y. (WHEC) — Two state lawmakers want to find out why people are leaving New York faster than almost any other state in the country.
The latest census numbers show New York’s population dropped by 77,000 between 2018 and last year.
According to the Empire Center for Public Policy, 1.4 million people have left New York since 2010. The report shows the majority of people who left moved to Florida, Texas, California, and Pennsylvania.
Republican Sen. Jim Tedisco and Democratic Assemblyman Angelo Santabarbara, who chairs the Commission on Rural Resources, say they will put a questionnaire online and hold roundtable meetings across the state to get to the bottom of this trend before the Empire State becomes the “Empty State.”
Of course, we have a lot of people to go through before the state is completely empty.
I will let y’all know if I get the survey.
SUCKY TAX VISUALIZATIONS
So, my excuse is that this is a hobby, I don’t get paid for it, and I just went with Excel defaults.
But if that’s my excuse, why is a site called Visual Capitalist so known for shitty visualizations?
And let me be clear what I mean by this — it’s not that it’s ugly. It’s that I can’t do much with it.
The page I’m linking to is titled “Visualizing Unequal State Tax Burdens Across America”, and it’s very easy for me to critique the specific bitchery (such as, no: really rich folks don’t actually buy a lot more than other people… so their sales taxes don’t amount to as much compared to their income. Indeed, one way they get richer is by spending less than their incomes.)
Here is an easy bitch:
The data reflects the effect of tax changes enacted through September 10, 2018, using 2015 income levels (the latest year for available, detailed income data). Both single and married tax filers are included, while elderly taxpayers, dependent filers, and those with negative incomes are excluded.
Elderly taxpayers are excluded? Now why would that be, hmmmmm? [I have an idea]
Anyway, this is an ugly-ass visualization:
Can you even tell the color changes?
This is absurd.
TAX STORIES
- CT Mirror: Middle-class retirees: The forgotten cohort
- Taxpayer Advocate Purple Book for 2020
- WSJ: The Tax Increases to Come – Even Joe Biden would raise the top marginal rate on work to over 50%.
- Wirepoints: Don’t be fooled by claims that a progressive income tax for Illinois would mean property tax relief – Wirepoints Original
- Advocates Seek Reforms For More Secure Retirement For N.M. Seniors – New Mexico taxes Social Security benefits (so do 12 other states). This is a push to stop that.
- One Illinois: Graduated income taxes are actually more stable
- Brookings: How a VAT could tax the rich and pay for universal basic income – what’s dumb is “the rich” really don’t consume a lot more than the rest of us. VAT is a consumption tax.
- Governing: Some Counties Missing Out on Tax Benefits from Online Shopping
- Yahoo: Corporations paid $91 billion less in taxes in 2018 under Trump’s tax law (and more came in from individuals)
I’m sure there are other stories, but I’m too tired to do more.
TAX TWEETS
Which places pay the most in property taxes? https://t.co/BDzgpOOrvw pic.twitter.com/nkjcfzq55V
— Tax Foundation (@taxfoundation) January 23, 2020
After weighing their choices, James Mark and some other restaurateurs have concluded they would accept higher taxes if the government would take over the task of insuring their workers through single-payer health care. https://t.co/taqJVFo4OR
— NPR (@NPR) February 4, 2020
Or, ya know, they could remove the Obamacare requirement that they have to provide coverage.
Justice Department has filed brief backing Trump in his bid to prevent NY grand jury obtaining his tax returns: https://t.co/qNi1lUG7Aa
— Lawrence Hurley (@lawrencehurley) February 4, 2020
Jeez, this dumbass thing is still going on.
Sir when the fuck are you going to pay your taxes tho? https://t.co/weA9l29kVV
— #⃝celia (@heejincredible) February 4, 2020
[I seriously do not get what’s going on here, but whatever. I’m sure Bezos pays plenty in personal income taxes.]
Nearly all households in Alberta will get more back in rebates than they pay in carbon taxes, Parliamentary Budget Officer says. Calls results of analysis 'consistent' with May 2019 report. Previous story: https://t.co/V66LCn1umH
— CBC News Alerts (@CBCAlerts) February 4, 2020
That sounds iffy to me.
The #GOPTaxScam lowered corporations' effective tax rate to just 7% in 2018, created more loopholes and is exploding the national debt. Meanwhile the IRS collected $100 BILLION more from individuals. Democratic candidates MUST run on this. #SmartDissent https://t.co/cYy0loDeya
— SmartDissent.com (@smartdissent) February 4, 2020
Yes, dumbass. The federal government has been collecting far more tax from individuals (if you include FICA, definitely, if you don’t… still, it’s mostly personal income taxes) than corporations, even when the corporate tax rate was 35%.
"Pay taxes so you can have roads and get your garbage collected"
— (@SamyDindane) February 4, 2020
The streets of Paris during a strike of garbage collectors. pic.twitter.com/9YD4vyk3Qa
That looks pretty good to me — compared to San Francisco, at any rate.
Checking my account and seeing my refund isn’t there after just filing my taxes yesterday. pic.twitter.com/ap5VR31MR7
— Nolan Corbin (@NolanCorbin5) February 4, 2020
Yeah, I know the feeling. I’m pleasantly surprised when it comes faster than the 3 weeks I expect.
opened up my account and realizing my taxes hit pic.twitter.com/CQeisnO2ZQ
— brenda (@brendasalgado94) February 4, 2020
Yeah, that time of year.
I have all my docs…. I have just filled in my name so far. I am not looking forward to doing the taxes, because it generally makes me angry.
The PBO’s report analyzing the carbon tax's effect on households found the net benefits are smaller than its earlier analysis, after accounting for federal and provincial sales taxes via
PatrickBrethour</a> <a href="https://t.co/8KqcBWS0RR">https://t.co/8KqcBWS0RR</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/cdnpoli?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#cdnpoli</a></p>— Marieke Walsh (
MariekeWalsh) February 4, 2020
I find this very suspicious.
The tAxES being taken out of my check https://t.co/RWCGfJOLPd
— Taylor (@taysomatic) February 4, 2020
I hear, ya, man, I hear ya.
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