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Looking at Recent Mortality Increases -- and Expectations for the Future  

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15 August 2022, 12:28
Mary Pat Campbell ยท STUMP – Podcast Making Assumptions About Mortality In 2021 And Future Mortality

This is an experiment — I’ve been doing podcasts over at the substack site, but not mirroring them here. I don’t want to pay for SoundCloud, so if someone knows a better free option, please let me know.

Looking at where the highest relative increases occurred in mortality in 2021 in the U.S. (age 40-44), the causes that drove it (different for different age groups), and thinking about how that may influence future mortality trends.

Related links

Key graph of relative change in mortality

Gen X Trend:

Middle-aged Massacre (too!): Increase in Mortality for Ages 40-59 in the U.S. for 2020-2021 Mainly Driven By COVID

Millennial Trend:

Millennial Massacre Part 2: Increase In Mortality for Ages 18-39 for 2020-2021 Mainly Driven by Drug Overdoses and COVID

Links to posts on key causes of death and their trends

Suicide

Suicide: Trends, 1968-2020, and Provisional Counts Through June 2021 – this one had only one standalone post, but I’m not done with this topic yet.

Mortality Nuggets: Videos on Suicide Rate Trends, Society of Actuaries Report, and Fixing Their Graph — there are a variety of mortality trends covered in video form here, and suicide rate trends are in the first video.

Homicide

Homicide: Trends, 1968-2020, and Provisional Counts Through June 2021

The Geography of Homicide — States, Base Rates, Increases, and Correlations

Motor vehicle accidents

Motor Vehicle Accident Deaths: High-Level Trends, 1968-2020, Part 1

Motor Vehicle Accident Deaths, Part 2: Age-Related Trends with Provisional Results in 2021

Motor Vehicle Accident Deaths, Part 3: Geographical Differences, 2019 vs 2020

Drug overdose deaths

Drug Overdoses, Part 1: High-Level Trends, 1999-2020

Drug Overdose Deaths, Part 2: U.S. Age-Related Trends 1999-2020 with Provisional Results in 2021

Drug Overdose Deaths, Part 3: Geographical Differences for 2019 and 2020

Alcohol-related deaths

Part 1: Dead is dead: Increased Alcohol-Related Deaths, U.S., 2020-2021

Part 2: Alcohol-related deaths, part 2: Geographical Differences for 2019 and 2020


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Top Causes of Death by Age Group, 2020: Raw Numbers
Mortality Monday (with a little Trumpery): Supreme Court Probabilities Take 2
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